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Long-term outcome and risk factors in patients with end stage renal disease on peritoneal dialysis
2017, 16 (10):
676-680.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-4091.2017.010.009
Objective To investigate long- term outcome and the risk factors influencing the long- term prognosis in patients with end stage renal disease (ESRD) on peritoneal dialysis (PD). Methods The ESRD patients treated with PD as the initial renal replacement therapy in Anhui Provincial Hospital from Jan. 2011 to Dec. 2013 were enrolled in this study. They were followed up for 3 years and their outcomes were recorded. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to calculate cumulative survival rate and technique survival rate. Cox regression models were used to analyze the risk factors for mortality and PD technical failure, and to calculate their relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results A total of 100 patients were recruited. The cumulative survival rates after 1, 2 and 3 years were 95.8%, 87.4% and 76.7%, respectively. Cox regression showed that age (RR 1.042, 95% CI 1.012~1.073, P=0.006), lower serum albumin (RR 0.872, 95% CI 0.800~0.950, P=0.002) and chronic heart failure (RR 3.545, 95% CI 1.336~9.409, P=0.011) at the beginning of PD were the risk factors for survival in PD patients. The cumulative technical survival rates after 1, 2 and 3 years were 90.8%, 82.5% and 65.5%, respectively. Cox regression revealed that lower serum albumin level at the beginning of PD (RR 0.932, 95% CI 0.870~0.998, P=0.042) was the risk factor for dropout of the treatment in PD patients. Conclusions The PD patients treated in this department had better survival rate and technical survival rate. The factors at the beginning of PD that affected survival rate included age, lower serum albumin and chronic heart failure, and the factor at the beginning of PD that affected technical survival rate was lower serum albumin. The PD patients with hypoalbuminemia had poor long-term prognosis. Correction of low serum albumin before PD may improve the long-term prognosis.
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