Chinese Journal of Blood Purification ›› 2026, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (04): 347-352.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-4091.2026.04.014

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Construction and validation of a nomogram prediction model for depression in peritoneal dialysis patients

ZHANG Xin, XU Peng-fei, LI Xu, YU Wei-wei, WU Yan, WANG Xiao-yan   

  1. Department of Nephrology and 4Department of Nursing, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China; 2Department of Nephrology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210008, China; 3Department of Nephrology, Nanjing Lishui People's Hospital, Nanjing 211200, China; 5Department of Nursing, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
  • Received:2025-08-28 Revised:2025-12-25 Online:2026-04-12 Published:2026-04-12
  • Contact: 210009 南京,东南大学附属中大医院4护理部;210009 南京,5东南大学医学院护理学系 E-mail:xywang2023@seu.edu.cn

Abstract: 【Abstract】 Objective To explore the risk factors for depression in peritoneal dialysis (Peritoneal Dialysis, PD) patients and construct a nomogram prediction model. Methods A total of 233 PD patients were selected from Zhongda Hospital Southeast University, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital and Nanjing Lishui People's Hospital between October 2023 and June 2024 to form the modeling set, while 66 PD patients from July to October 2024 were included in the validation set. Binary logistic regression analysis was employed to identify risk factors for depression, and a nomogram prediction model for depression was constructed and validated.. Results In the modeling set, the anxiety scores (OR=27.579, 95%CI: 12.041~63.165, P<0.001), work status (OR=0.351, 95%CI: 0.147~0.834, P=0.018), cognitive function scores (OR=0.386, 95%CI: 0.165~0.902, P=0.028), physical health composite index (OR=0.940, 95%CI: 0.899~0.983, P=0.007), hypersensitive C-reactive protein level (OR=1.024, 95%CI: 1.002~1.046, P=0.030), and parathyroid hormone (OR=1.001, 95%CI: 1.000~1.003, P=0.022) were predictive factors for depression in PD patients. The Area Under Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve for the modeling set was 0.893 (95% CI: 0.852~0.934), with a sensitivity of 76.4% and a specificity of 90.2%. The AUC for the validation set was 0.926 (95% CI: 0.866~0.985), with a sensitivity of 96.0% and a specificity of 82.9%. Conclusion The nomogram prediction model for depression in PD patients demonstrates good clinical utility, aiding health care workers in identifying individuals at high risk of depression.

Key words: Peritoneal dialysis, Depression, Prediction model, Risk factor

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